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T. BOONE PICKENS, JR.
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4PM-5PM
BRIEFING INFORMATION
AGENDA
LYNN HOUSTON (HOW-STON) HAS REQUESTED THAT YOU ARRIVE AT THE BRIAR CLUB AT APPROXIMATELY 3:45 PM. THE PROGRAM IS TO BEGIN AT 4:00 PM. IT HAS BEEN REQUESTED THAT YOUR PRESENTATION LAST 20-25 MINUTES FOLLOWED BY A 15 MINUTE QUESTION AND ANSWER PERIOD. A BRIEF RECEPTION WILL FOLLOW THE PRESENTATION. MESA WILL BE BILLED FOR THE USE OF THE ROOM AND FOR REFRESHMENTS SERVED ($350-$400). THE BRIAR CLUB IS LOCATED AT THE CORNER OF TIMMONS AND WESTHEIMER—NOT FAR FROM LAMAR TOWER.
AUDIENCE/ATTENDANCE
THE AUDIENCE WILL BE COMPRISED PRIMARILY OF RETAIL STOCKBROKERS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT MEMBERS OF THE PRESS MAY ATTEND (HOUSTON CHRONICLE, HOUSTON POST AND HOUSTON BUSINESS JOURNAL). ATTENDANCE COULD RANGE FROM 40 TO 70 PEOPLE.
TOPIC
LYNN HOUSTON HAS SUGGESTED THAT YOUR PRESENTATION INCLUDE AN OUTLOOK FOR THE INDUSTRY AND MESA'S PLANS FOR THE FUTURE.
PRESENTATION OUTLINE - HIGHLIGHTS
I. INTRODUCTION
A. ADDRESS TWO POINTS TODAY: (1) THE OUTLOOK FOR THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY; AND (2) A REVIEW OF MESA'S STRATEGY [HANDWRITTEN ADDITION: PIG STORY]
II. SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK FOR THE INDUSTRY.
A. NOT MUCH GOOD NEWS THIS YEAR.
B. BOOM IS OVER.
C. 31 YEARS—TOUGH BUSINESS.
D. SHAKEOUT WILL CONTINUE.
E. OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE FUTURE.
F. POSITIVE FACTORS.
G. DRILLING IN U.S. HAS DROPPED BY ONE-HALF—DEMAND WILL RETURN.
H. INDUSTRY WILL RECOVER—BUT IT WILL BE SLOW. INDUSTRY WILL REMAIN AMONG THE STRONGEST ECONOMIC ENTITIES IN OUR COUNTRY.
III. MESA'S PERFORMANCE AND FUTURE PLANS.
A. 1982 GOOD YEAR TO REVIEW PLAN.
B. PLAN IS SIMPLE—TO INCREASE RESERVES THROUGH EXPLORATION AND/OR ACQUISITION.
C. RESERVE ENHANCEMENT BRINGS BEST RESULTS FOR STOCKHOLDERS.
D. GOAL OF MANAGEMENTS—PROTECT AND EXPAND ASSETS AND VALUE OF SHAREHOLDERS' INTERESTS.
E. KEY TO MANAGING OUR PLAN IS TO KEEP OUR COMPANY AT ITS OPTIMUM SIZE.
F. HOW DOES MANAGEMENT ACHIEVE OPTIMUM SIZE? BY BALANCING RESERVE BASE AND CASH FLOW WITH ITS PERSONNEL TO ACHIEVE ECONOMIC INCREASES OF RESERVES THROUGH EXPLORATION AND ACQUISITION.
G. MAY EQUATE SUCCESS WITH BECOMING LARGE.
H. MESA EQUATES SUCCESS WITH ACHIEVING OPTIMUM SIZE.
I. RECOGNIZING THE IMPORTANCE OF OPTIMUM SIZE IS NOT ENOUGH—MUST BE WILLING TO MAKE DECISIONS TO ADJUST.
J. MESA BELIEVES SUCCESSFUL MANAGEMENTS ARE THOSE WHO KNOW THEIR ASSETS WELL; WHO CAN ANALYZE ACCURATELY; AND WHO ARE WILLING AND ABLE TO MAKE TIMELY DECISIONS.
K. TOUGH CHALLENGE TO MAKE A DECISION TO DOWN SIZE.
L. REVIEW MESA'S ADJUSTMENTS TO ACHIEVE OPTIMUM SIZE.
M. MESA OFFSHORE TRUST.
N. REVIEW OUR MOST IMPORTANT MEASURE TO DETERMINE WHETHER OR NOT OUR PLAN HAS BEEN SUCCESSFUL—HAS THE STOCKHOLDER MADE MONEY?
P. HAS THE PLAN WORKED? SHOULD WE STAY WITH IT?
Q. PLANS FOR 1983.
IV. QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS.
T. BOONE PICKENS, JR. REMARKS: HOUSTON SECURITY DEALERS ASSOCIATION
I. INTRODUCTION
A. THANK YOU, LYNN.
B. (PERSONAL COMMENTS)
1.
2.
3.
C. I HAVE BEEN ASKED TO ADDRESS TWO POINTS TODAY: (1) THE OUTLOOK FOR THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY; AND (2) A REVIEW OF MESA'S STRATEGY—PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE.
D. I WILL THEN BE PLEASED TO ANSWER YOUR QUESTIONS.
II. FIRST, LET'S BRIEFLY ASSESS THE SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK FOR THE INDUSTRY.
A. WE HAVEN'T HEARD MUCH GOOD NEWS ABOUT OUR INDUSTRY THIS YEAR
B. THE INDUSTRY BOOM, WHICH STARTED IN 1973, CAME TO AN ABRUPT HALT IN 1982.
C. BUT, THIS TOUGH PERIOD WE ARE NOW EXPERIENCING IS NOTHING REALLY NEW—OF THE 31 YEARS I'VE BEEN IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY—THERE HAVE BEEN FEW YEARS IN WHICH WE "LINED 'UM UP AND RAN OVER 'UM."
D. WE HAVE SEEN SHAKEOUT PERIODS BEFORE. THE LIST OF COMPANIES FALLING BY THE WAYSIDE WILL CONTINUE TO GROW.
E. I'M OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE FUTURE OF THE INDUSTRY...BUT I'M ALSO REALISTIC...WE WILL HAVE A RECOVERY, BUT IT WILL BE SLOW.
F. CONSIDER SOME OF THE POSITIVE FACTORS CURRENTLY AT WORK IN THE MARKETPLACE.
G. ANOTHER FACTOR THAT WE SHOULD CONSIDER IN THE ANALYSIS IS THAT DRILLING IN THE U.S. HAS DROPPED BY ALMOST 1/2 THIS YEAR—IT'S ONLY A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE DEMAND INCREASES AND WITH IT ANOTHER PRICE HIKE BY OPEC.
H. YES, I DO BELIEVE WE ARE ON THE ROAD TO RECOVERY IN THE INDUSTRY. RECOVERY WILL BE SLOW, BUT I BELIEVE THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY WILL REMAIN AMONG THE STRONGEST ECONOMIC ENTITIES IN OUR COUNTRY.
III. NOW, LET'S TURN TO MESA AND ADDRESS OUR PERFORMIANCE AND FUTURE PLANS.
A. FOR MESA, 1982 HAS BEEN A GOOD TIME TO REVIEW OUR STRATEGIC PLAN AND TO ASK QUESTIONS ABOUT IT:
B. OUR PLAN IS REALLY QUITE SIMPLE...TO INCREASE OUR RESERVES THROUGH EXPLORATION AND/OR ACQUISITION.
C. TO ACHIEVE THE BEST RESULTS FOR OUR SHAREHOLDERS, OUR PLAN EMPHASIZES THE ENHANCEMENT OF RESERVES.
D. THE OVERRIDING GOAL OF MANAGEMENT IS TO PROTECT AND EXPAND THE ASSETS OF THE COMPANY AND THE VALUE OF THEIR SHAREHOLDERS' INTERESTS.
E. THE KEY TO MANAGING OUR PLAN IS TO KEEP OUR COMPANY AT ITS OPTIMUM SIZE.
F. HOW DOES MANAGEMENT ACHIEVE OPTIMUM SIZE? BY BALANCING RESERVE BASE AND CASH FLOW WITH ITS PERSONNEL TO ACHIEVE ECONOMIC INCREASES OF RESERVES THROUGH EXPLORATION AND ACQUISITION.
G. TO MANY, SUCCESS MEANS BECOMING LARGE.
H. BUT TO MESA, SUCCESS IS EQUATED WITH ACHIEVING OPTIMUM SIZE—A SIZE THAT MAY INCREASE OR DECREASE DEPENDING UPON VARIOUS ECONOMIC FACTORS.
I. RECOGNIZING THE IMPORTANCE OF OPTIMUM SIZE IS NOT ENOUGH—MANAGEMENTS MUST BE WILLING TO MAKE TOUGH DECISIONS TO ACHIEVE IT.
J. THIS BRINGS ME TO AN IMPORTANT ELEMENT OF THE MESA PLAN—WE BELIEVE SUCCESSFUL MANAGEMENTS ARE THOSE WHO KNOW THEIR ASSETS WELL; WHO CAN ANALYZE ACCURATELY; AND WHO ARE WILLING AND ABLE TO MAKE TIMELY ADJUSTMENTS IN ORDER TO ACHIEVE OPTIMUM SIZE.
K. BELIEVE RAE, MAKING THE INITIAL DECISION TO DOWN SIZE A COMPANY IS A TOUGH CHALLENGE TO MOST MANAGEMENTS.
L. TO ILLUSTRATE THE TYPES OF ADJUSTMENTS THAT MAY BE NECESSARY TO ACHIEVE OPTIMUM SIZE, LET'S LOOK AT THE MESA RECORD.
M. MOST OF YOU ARE VERY FAMILIAR WITH OUR HISTORY—SO, I WILL NOT GIVE YOU A DETAILED EXPLANATION OF EACH OF THESE OPTIMUM SIZE ADJUSTMENTS.
N. I WOULD LIKE TO DIVERT FROM MY DISCUSSION OF OPTIMUM SIZE ADJUSTMENTS TO BRIEFLY REVIEW THE MESA OFFSHORE TRUST.
O. I WOULD LIKE TO CONCLUDE MY REVIEW OF OPTIMUM SIZE ADJUSTMENTS DICTATED BY OUR STRATEGIC PLAN BY EXAMINING OUR MOST IMPORTANT MEASUREMENT—HAS THE MESA STOCKHOLDER MADE MONEY?
P. HAS THE MESA PLAN TO ACHIEVE OPTIMUM SIZE WORKED? SHOULD WE STAY WITH THE PLAN?
Q. WHAT ARE OUR PLANS FOR 1983?
R. ABOVE ALL, WE WILL CONTINUE TO STRIVE TO MAKE MONEY FOR OUR SHAREHOLDERS IN 1983, BY OFFERING AN ENERGY INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO CONSISTING OF:
IV. THANK YOU. I WILL NOW BE PLEASED TO ANSWER YOUR QUESTIONS.